Expected returns for all the stocks on the S&P/TSX SmallCap Index
Small caps have been on a tear, outperforming large caps by a significant margin.
In 2020, the S&P/TSX SmallCap Index climbed 10 per cent, 12.9 per cent including dividends, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index was relatively flat, rising just 2.2 per cent or 5.6 per cent including dividends.
So far this year, small caps have continued to outperform. Year-to-date, the S&P/TSX SmallCap Index has rallied 9.7 per cent, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index has delivered a price return of 5.9 per cent.
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The S&P/TSX SmallCap Index is positioned to benefit from rebounding economic growth with cyclical stocks dominating the Index.
The top three sectors in the TSX SmallCap Index are Materials, Energy and Industrials with weightings of 24 per cent, 17 per cent and 13 per cent, respectively, as of the end of February. In contrast, the top sector in the S&P/TSX Composite Index is Financials with a weighting of 32 per cent with Industrials, Materials and Energy each at approximately12 per cent.
The S&P/TSX SmallCap Index has greater diversification.
While the number of constituents in both indexes is relatively equal, with 200 members in the TSX SmallCap Index and 219 members in the TSX Composite Index, there is greater concentration risk in the S&P/TSX Composite Index, where the top 10 constituents have a weighting of 39 per cent and the largest member has a weighting of 7 per cent.
In comparison, the top 10 members in the S&P/TSX SmallCap Index have a weighting of 15.5 per cent and the largest member has a weighting of just 2 per cent. There is some overlap with a number of stocks included in both indices such as Laurentian Bank of Canada (LB-T) and Aurora Cannabis Inc. (ACB-T).
While small-cap stocks have performed well recently, there are risks to consider when investing in smaller companies. For instance, small-cap stocks can be illiquid with low daily trading volume, increasing price volatility. Small-cap stocks may not be profitable and companies may need capital in order to fund their growth objectives. In addition, there may be competitive pressures from established industry players. Furthermore, management teams may have an unproven track record.
Listed below is a complete list of all 200 companies in the S&P/TSX SmallCap Index grouped by sector and ranked according to their forecasted price returns (excluding dividend or distribution income). All data is as March 5.
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It’s important to keep in mind that high target prices which imply stellar returns that seem unbelievable may be just that – unrealistic. At times, analysts may maintain their bullish expectations when a stock price falls, inflating the projected potential return. In addition, an outlier (extreme target price) can skew the average target price, to the upside or downside, particularly when there are a limited number of analysts covering the company. Don’t let a huge projected gain lure you into a position – it is critical to look at the company and industry fundamentals.
MAR. 5 CLOSE
AVG. TARGET
FORECAST RETURN
YIELD (%)
BUYS
HOLDS
SELLS
Communication Services
AIM-T
AIMIA INC
$4.30
$6.00
40%
0.0
3
0
0
RAY-A-T
STINGRAY GROUP INC
$6.68
$8.79
32%
4.5
6
1
0
CGO-T
COGECO INC
$96.73
$118.50
23%
2.3
1
1
0
CJR-B-T
CORUS ENTERTAINMENT INC
$5.61
$6.45
15%
4.3
7
1
0
WILD-T
WILDBRAIN LTD
$2.93
$2.94
0%
0.0
0
7
0
CGX-T
CINEPLEX INC
$14.07
$12.64
-10%
0.0
2
5
0
Consumer Discretionary
FOOD-T
GOODFOOD MARKET CORP
$9.39
$14.84
58%
0.0
7
1
0
MRE-T
MARTINREA INTERNATIONAL INC
$13.70
$19.07
39%
1.5
5
3
0
UNS-T
UNI-SELECT INC
$9.53
$12.20
28%
0.0
4
1
0
PLC-T
PARK LAWN CORP
$30.96
$37.81
22%
1.5
9
0
0
PZA-T
PIZZA PIZZA ROYALTY CORP
$9.95
$12.00
21%
6.6
1
0
0
XTC-T
EXCO TECHNOLOGIES LTD
$10.73
$12.58
17%
3.7
1
2
0
ACQ-T
AUTOCANADA INC
$33.45
$38.19
14%
0.0
6
2
0
TRZ-T
TRANSAT A.T. INC
$5.29
$6.00
13%
0.0
0
2
0
DII-B-T
DOREL INDUSTRIES INC
$13.47
$15.25
13%
0.0
0
2
0
ZZZ-T
SLEEP COUNTRY CANADA HOLDINGS INC
$30.55
$34.29
12%
2.6
4
3
0
BPF-UN-T
BOSTON PIZZA ROYALTIES INCOME FUND
$11.70
$13.00
11%
6.7
1
0
0
DIV-T
DIVERSIFIED ROYALTY CORP
$2.51
$2.79
11%
8.0
6
0
0
GC-T
GREAT CANADIAN GAMING CORP
$42.95
$45.00
5%
0.0
1
1
0
MTY-T
MTY FOOD GROUP INC
$52.74
$54.50
3%
0.0
3
5
0
PBL-T
POLLARD BANKNOTE LTD
$48.50
$47.50
-2%
0.3
2
2
0
RECP-T
RECIPE UNLIMITED CORP
$18.57
$18.13
-2%
0.0
1
3
0
AW-UN-T
A&W REVENUE ROYALTIES INCOME FUND
$35.33
n.a.
n.a.
4.6
0
0
0
Consumer Staples
NEPT-T
NEPTUNE WELLNESS SOLUTIONS INC
$1.78
$3.76
111%
0.0
2
1
0
VFF-T
VILLAGE FARMS INTERNATIONAL INC
$17.18
$30.30
76%
0.0
6
0
0
ADW-A-T
ANDREW PELLER LTD
$10.35
$16.25
57%
2.2
3
0
0
SOY-T
SUNOPTA INC
$17.81
$25.71
44%
0.0
4
0
0
JWEL-T
JAMIESON WELLNESS INC
$34.75
$43.97
27%
1.4
9
0
0
HLF-T
HIGH LINER FOODS INC
$13.32
$16.13
21%
2.1
1
3
0
KPT-T
KP TISSUE INC
$10.70
$12.92
21%
6.7
1
5
0
NWC-T
NORTH WEST CO INC
$33.11
$36.60
11%
4.3
1
4
0
RSI-T
ROGERS SUGAR INC
$5.34
$5.70
7%
6.7
1
4
0
CSW-A-T
CORBY SPIRIT AND WINE LTD
$16.80
n.a.
n.a.
5.0
0
0
0
Energy
CNE-T
CANACOL ENERGY LTD
$3.58
$5.64
58%
5.8
9
0
0
AAV-T
ADVANTAGE OIL & GAS LTD
$2.57
$3.79
47%
0.0
12
2
0
NXE-T
NEXGEN ENERGY LTD
$4.33
$6.33
46%
0.0
10
0
0
TXP-T
TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION INC
$2.60
$3.57
37%
0.0
5
0
0
SRX-T
STORM RESOURCES LTD
$2.85
$3.91
37%
0.0
7
1
0
VII-T
SEVEN GENERATIONS ENERGY LTD
$8.69
$11.66
34%
0.0
6
5
0
SES-T
SECURE ENERGY SERVICES INC
$3.23
$4.27
32%
0.9
13
0
0
BIR-T
BIRCHCLIFF ENERGY LTD
$3.03
$3.96
31%
0.7
12
3
0
TOT-T
TOTAL ENERGY SERVICES INC
$3.72
$4.75
28%
0.0
2
2
0
NOA-T
NORTH AMERICAN CONSTRUCTION GROUP LTD
$15.28
$19.21
26%
1.0
6
1
0
EFX-T
ENERFLEX LTD
$9.47
$11.06
17%
0.8
7
1
0
FRU-T
FREEHOLD ROYALTIES LTD
$7.75
$8.96
16%
4.6
12
1
0
KEL-T
KELT EXPLORATION LTD
$2.84
$3.25
14%
0.0
13
0
0
PSI-T
PASON SYSTEMS INC
$9.96
$11.00
10%
2.0
2
5
0
POU-T
PARAMOUNT RESOURCES LTD
$10.93
$12.05
10%
0.0
5
4
2
CMG-T
COMPUTER MODELLING GROUP LTD
$6.20
$6.78
9%
3.2
3
5
0
ERF-T
ENERPLUS CORP
$6.79
$7.17
6%
1.8
12
1
1
WCP-T
WHITECAP RESOURCES INC
$6.76
$7.09
5%
2.5
15
1
0
PL-T
PINNACLE RENEWABLE ENERGY INC
$11.00
$11.54
5%
0.0
2
3
0
PEY-T
PEYTO EXPLORATION & DEV CORP
$6.15
$6.43
5%
0.7
5
9
0
SCL-T
SHAWCOR LTD
$5.38
$5.57
4%
0.0
4
3
0
CPG-T
CRESCENT POINT ENERGY CORP
$5.50
$5.53
1%
0.2
9
6
1
FEC-T
FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
$7.04
$7.00
-1%
0.0
0
2
0
HWX-T
HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC
$3.92
$3.79
-3%
0.0
7
0
0
MEG-T
MEG ENERGY CORP
$7.79
$7.04
-10%
0.0
6
13
0
EFR-T
ENERGY FUELS INC
$6.66
$5.59
-16%
0.0
5
1
0
VET-T
VERMILION ENERGY INC
$9.39
$7.82
-17%
0.0
4
10
2
Financials
CF-T
CANACCORD GENUITY GROUP INC
$11.90
$15.50
30%
2.2
3
0
0
FSZ-T
FIERA CAPITAL CORP
$10.16
$12.83
26%
8.3
5
4
0
AD-UN-T
ALARIS EQUITY PARTNERS INCOME TRUST
$15.29
$19.17
25%
8.1
6
1
0
U-T
URANIUM PARTICIPATION CORP
$4.97
$6.18
24%
0.0
7
1
0
ECN-T
ECN CAPITAL CORP
$8.07
$9.95
23%
1.5
11
0
0
GSY-T
GOEASY LTD
$121.59
$146.67
21%
2.2
6
0
1
HCG-T
HOME CAPITAL GROUP INC
$32.21
$38.14
18%
0.0
5
3
0
EQB-T
EQUITABLE GROUP INC
$135.90
$151.14
11%
1.1
5
2
0
TSU-T
TRISURA GROUP LTD
$123.59
$135.25
9%
0.0
8
0
0
AI-T
ATRIUM MORTGAGE INVESTMENT CORP
$12.77
$13.77
8%
7.0
3
0
0
AGF-B-T
AGF MANAGEMENT LTD
$6.87
$7.31
6%
4.7
2
4
2
TF-T
TIMBERCREEK FINANCIAL CORP
$8.99
$9.33
4%
7.7
2
2
0
FC-T
FIRM CAPITAL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT CORP
$13.61
$13.75
1%
6.9
2
0
0
LB-T
LAURENTIAN BANK OF CANADA
$40.12
$39.70
-1%
4.0
0
7
4
SII-T
SPROTT INC
$48.75
$47.16
-3%
2.6
0
3
0
XAU-T
GOLDMONEY INC
$3.07
n.a.
n.a.
0.0
0
0
0
Health Care
APS-T
APTOSE BIOSCIENCES INC
US $3.75
US $10.78
187%
0.0
8
0
0
MDNA-T
MEDICENNA THERAPEUTICS CORP
$4.46
$12.08
171%
0.0
6
0
0
IMV-T
IMV INC
$4.06
$10.76
165%
0.0
5
2
0
ONC-T
ONCOLYTICS BIOTECH INC
$3.40
$8.09
138%
0.0
4
0
0
TRIL-T
TRILLIUM THERAPEUTICS INC
US $10.03
US $22.33
123%
0.0
8
0
0
LABS-T
MEDIPHARM LABS CORP
$0.49
$1.00
106%
0.0
3
2
0
BLU-T
BELLUS HEALTH INC
$4.85
$9.53
96%
0.0
7
2
0
HLS-T
HLS THERAPEUTICS INC
$18.36
$32.00
74%
1.1
6
0
0
WELL-T
WELL HEALTH TECHNOLOGIES CORP
$7.63
$11.63
52%
0.0
9
1
0
TH-T
THERATECHNOLOGIES INC
$3.95
$5.41
37%
0.0
2
2
0
GUD-T
KNIGHT THERAPEUTICS INC
$5.15
$6.88
33%
0.0
7
1
0
VMD-T
VIEMED HEALTHCARE INC
$12.18
$15.85
30%
0.0
5
0
0
DR-T
MEDICAL FACILITIES CORP
$7.23
$8.95
24%
3.9
3
1
0
PRN-T
PROFOUND MEDICAL CORP
$28.10
$34.70
24%
0.0
8
1
0
CWEB-T
CHARLOTTES WEB HOLDINGS INC
$5.80
$7.01
21%
0.0
6
2
0
ACB-T
AURORA CANNABIS INC
$12.15
$14.10
16%
0.0
1
8
8
SIA-T
SIENNA SENIOR LIVING INC
$13.76
$14.50
5%
6.8
3
6
0
EXE-T
EXTENDICARE INC
$6.93
$7.20
4%
6.9
1
4
0
CRH-T
CRH MEDICAL CORP
$4.88
$4.76
-2%
0.0
0
3
0
OGI-T
ORGANIGRAM HOLDINGS INC
$3.42
$2.52
-26%
0.0
5
11
0
Industrials
AXU-T
ALEXCO RESOURCE CORP
$3.08
$4.44
44%
0.0
5
1
0
WPRT-T
WESTPORT FUEL SYSTEMS INC
$10.10
$14.37
42%
0.0
4
1
0
NFI-T
NFI GROUP INC
$28.12
$36.53
30%
3.0
9
0
0
HRX-T
HEROUX-DEVTEK INC
$15.38
$19.33
26%
0.0
6
0
0
HDI-T
HARDWOODS DISTRIBUTION INC
$27.63
$34.60
25%
1.4
5
0
0
CGY-T
CALIAN GROUP LTD
$63.21
$78.29
24%
1.8
7
0
0
MTL-T
MULLEN GROUP LTD
$10.92
$13.36
22%
4.4
9
2
0
IBG-T
IBI GROUP INC
$9.06
$10.82
19%
0.0
7
0
0
AFN-T
AG GROWTH INTERNATIONAL INC
$38.22
$45.60
19%
1.6
5
2
0
CWX-T
CANWEL BUILDING MATERIALS GROUP LTD
$7.82
$9.19
17%
6.1
5
2
0
SIS-T
SAVARIA CORP
$17.56
$20.43
16%
2.7
8
0
0
BDT-T
BIRD CONSTRUCTION INC
$9.29
$10.75
16%
4.2
7
0
0
TCL-A-T
TRANSCONTINENTAL INC
$21.84
$25.25
16%
4.1
6
2
0
WJX-T
WAJAX CORP
$19.78
$22.75
15%
5.1
2
2
0
ARE-T
AECON GROUP INC
$19.23
$21.89
14%
3.6
11
2
0
CHR-T
CHORUS AVIATION INC
$4.68
$5.28
13%
0.0
6
2
0
EIF-T
EXCHANGE INCOME CORP
$39.10
$43.90
12%
5.8
8
2
0
KBL-T
K-BRO LINEN INC
$39.81
$43.33
9%
3.0
6
1
0
RUS-T
RUSSEL METALS INC
$25.02
$26.93
8%
6.1
5
2
0
CERV-T
CERVUS EQUIPMENT CORP
$15.00
$15.83
6%
1.6
3
1
0
WTE-T
WESTSHORE TERMINALS INVESTMENT CORP
$19.34
$20.00
3%
3.3
2
3
0
BAD-T
BADGER DAYLIGHTING LTD
$42.73
$43.50
2%
1.4
4
3
1
MAL-T
MAGELLAN AEROSPACE CORP
$10.09
$10.00
-1%
4.2
1
1
0
DRT-T
DIRTT ENVIRONMENTAL SOLUTIONS LTD
$3.58
$3.51
-2%
0.0
4
0
1
Information Technology
DCBO-T
DOCEBO INC
$51.67
$86.33
67%
0.0
8
1
0
PHO-T
PHOTON CONTROL INC
$2.49
$3.50
41%
0.0
2
0
0
SW-T
SIERRA WIRELESS INC
$19.88
$25.75
30%
0.0
4
5
2
ABST-T
ABSOLUTE SOFTWARE CORP
$17.59
$21.74
24%
1.8
5
2
0
QTRH-T
QUARTERHILL INC
$2.74
$3.28
20%
1.8
4
0
0
ET-T
EVERTZ TECHNOLOGIES LTD
$14.09
$16.00
14%
5.1
3
1
0
CLS-T
CELESTICA INC
$10.51
$11.56
10%
0.0
1
7
1
Materials
TLG-T
TROILUS GOLD CORP
$0.90
$3.91
334%
0.0
6
0
0
SEA-T
SEABRIDGE GOLD INC
$20.84
$63.90
207%
0.0
4
0
0
AR-T
ARGONAUT GOLD INC
$1.98
$5.16
160%
0.0
8
0
0
FVL-T
FREEGOLD VENTURES LTD
$0.61
$1.50
146%
0.0
1
0
0
LGD-T
LIBERTY GOLD CORP
$1.43
$3.46
142%
0.0
5
0
0
OSK-T
OSISKO MINING INC
$2.89
$6.59
128%
0.0
10
0
0
FURY-T
FURY GOLD MINES LTD
$1.55
$3.51
127%
0.0
6
0
0
GOLD-T
GOLDMINING INC
$1.90
$4.16
119%
0.0
3
0
0
CXB-T
CALIBRE MINING CORP
$1.48
$3.22
118%
0.0
8
1
0
KRR-T
KARORA RESOURCES INC
$2.90
$6.06
109%
0.0
5
0
0
GCM-T
GRAN COLOMBIA GOLD CORP
$5.63
$11.69
108%
3.2
2
0
0
SBB-T
SABINA GOLD & SILVER CORP
$1.99
$4.08
105%
0.0
10
0
0
TXG-T
TOREX GOLD RESOURCES INC
$16.09
$32.19
100%
0.0
7
1
0
USA-T
AMERICAS GOLD AND SILVER CORP
$3.02
$6.03
100%
0.0
6
0
0
GAU-T
GALIANO GOLD INC
$1.32
$2.62
99%
0.0
4
3
0
STGO-T
STEPPE GOLD LTD
$2.19
$4.25
94%
0.0
3
0
0
PPTA-T
PERPETUA RESOURCES CORP
$7.50
$14.50
93%
0.0
1
1
0
VGCX-T
VICTORIA GOLD CORP
$11.82
$22.67
92%
0.0
4
0
0
GSC-T
GOLDEN STAR RESOURCES LTD
$3.88
$7.32
89%
0.0
5
1
0
NDM-T
NORTHERN DYNASTY MINERALS LTD
$0.82
$1.52
86%
0.0
2
0
0
ROXG-T
ROXGOLD INC
$1.42
$2.61
84%
0.0
7
1
0
OLA-T
ORLA MINING LTD
$4.32
$7.72
79%
0.0
8
0
0
SIL-T
SILVERCREST METALS INC
$9.62
$16.98
77%
0.0
9
1
0
GGD-T
GOGOLD RESOURCES INC
$2.09
$3.68
76%
0.0
4
0
0
BU-T
BURCON NUTRASCIENCE CORP
$4.02
$6.83
70%
0.0
3
0
0
MOZ-T
MARATHON GOLD CORP
$2.38
$3.81
60%
0.0
10
0
0
DPM-T
DUNDEE PRECIOUS METALS INC
$7.76
$12.00
55%
2.0
8
0
0
WRN-T
WESTERN COPPER AND GOLD CORP
$1.71
$2.64
55%
0.0
3
0
0
LAC-T
LITHIUM AMERICAS CORP
$18.90
$27.84
47%
0.0
5
2
0
NGD-T
NEW GOLD INC
$2.04
$2.96
45%
0.0
4
7
2
MDI-T
MAJOR DRILLING GROUP INTL INC
$6.94
$9.92
43%
0.0
6
0
0
ASM-T
AVINO SILVER & GOLD MINES
$1.53
$2.16
41%
0.0
4
0
0
BOS-T
AIRBOSS OF AMERICA CORP
$19.35
$26.35
36%
1.4
5
0
0
MMX-T
MAVERIX METALS INC
$5.98
$7.98
33%
0.8
7
2
0
PG-T
PREMIER GOLD MINES LTD
$2.88
$3.84
33%
0.0
4
0
0
IFP-T
INTERFOR CORP
$27.42
$36.33
33%
0.0
6
0
0
HBM-T
HUDBAY MINERALS INC
$9.09
$11.96
32%
0.2
13
4
1
FVI-T
FORTUNA SILVER MINES INC
$8.47
$10.96
29%
0.0
1
6
0
CS-T
CAPSTONE MINING CORP
$3.60
$4.59
28%
0.0
9
1
0
ALS-T
ALTIUS MINERALS CORP
$14.47
$18.25
26%
1.4
5
0
0
ERO-T
ERO COPPER CORP
$21.16
$24.61
16%
0.0
6
4
0
NEO-T
NEO PERFORMANCE MATERIALS INC
$17.97
$20.88
16%
2.2
7
0
0
ITP-T
INTERTAPE POLYMER GROUP INC
$24.55
$28.20
15%
3.3
8
0
0
CAS-T
CASCADES INC
$17.45
$20.00
15%
1.8
4
3
0
STLC-T
STELCO HOLDINGS INC
$26.20
$29.79
14%
1.5
7
1
0
CHE-UN-T
CHEMTRADE LOGISTICS INCOM FUND
$6.99
$7.88
13%
8.6
4
4
0
CFX-T
CANFOR PULP PRODUCTS INC
$9.60
$10.70
11%
0.0
2
3
0
EDR-T
ENDEAVOUR SILVER CORP
$6.91
$7.59
10%
0.0
4
6
0
ADN-T
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP
$17.91
$17.10
-5%
6.5
1
3
1
PTM-T
PLATINUM GROUP METALS LTD
$4.62
$1.50
-68%
0.0
0
0
1
Real Estate
MRG-UN-T
MORGUARD NORTH AMERICAN RESIDENTIAL REIT
$15.00
$19.10
27%
4.7
3
2
0
DRM-T
DREAM UNLIMITED
$22.40
$27.33
22%
1.3
3
0
0
MI-UN-T
MINTO APARTMENT REIT
$19.61
$23.00
17%
2.3
7
2
0
D-UN-T
DREAM OFFICE REIT
$20.62
$23.93
16%
4.8
4
3
0
HOM-UN-T
BSR REIT
US $10.84
US $12.39
14%
4.6
9
0
0
BEI-UN-T
BOARDWALK REIT
$37.80
$42.55
13%
2.6
8
3
0
APR-UN-T
AUTOMOTIVE PROPERTIES REIT
$10.80
$11.71
8%
7.4
9
2
0
AX-UN-T
ARTIS REIT
$11.26
$12.04
7%
4.9
3
5
0
IVQ-UN-T
INVESQUE INC
US $2.33
US $2.46
6%
0.0
1
3
0
CUF-UN-T
COMINAR REIT
$9.36
$9.85
5%
3.8
0
6
0
PLZ-UN-T
PLAZA RETAIL REIT
$3.83
$4.00
4%
7.3
2
4
0
SOT-UN-T
SLATE OFFICE REIT
$4.29
$4.45
4%
9.3
2
3
0
WIR-UN-T
WPT INDUSTRIAL REIT
US $15.14
US $15.57
3%
5.0
9
1
0
TNT-UN-T
TRUE NORTH COMMERCIAL REIT
$6.56
$6.69
2%
9.1
1
3
0
SGR-UN-T
SLATE GROCERY REIT
$11.80
$11.74
-1%
9.2
0
5
0
PRV-UN-T
PRO REIT
$6.04
$6.00
-1%
7.5
3
2
0
INO-UN-T
INOVALIS REIT
$9.42
$9.33
-1%
8.8
1
4
0
BTB-UN-T
BTB REIT
$3.97
$3.88
-2%
7.6
1
2
0
MRT-UN-T
MORGUARD REIT
$5.03
$4.88
-3%
4.8
0
4
1
HOT-UN-T
AMERICAN HOTEL INCOME PROPERTIES REIT
$3.78
$3.61
-5%
0.0
1
6
0
BRE-T
BRIDGEMARQ REAL ESTATE SERVICES INC
$15.86
n.a.
n.a.
8.5
0
0
0
Utilities
PIF-T
POLARIS INFRASTRUCTURE INC
$19.86
$28.00
41%
3.8
5
0
0
ATP-T
ATLANTIC POWER CORP
$3.65
$3.83
5%
0.0
1
0
0
Source: Bloomberg and Refinitiv
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Riel Roussopoulos
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